Cost-effectiveness of low-dose colchicine in patients with chronic coronary disease in the netherlands.

AIMS: Recent trials have shown that low-dose colchicine (0.5 mg once daily) reduces major cardiovascular events in patients with acute and chronic coronary syndromes. We aimed to estimate the cost-effectiveness of low-dose colchicine therapy in patients with chronic coronary disease when added to standard background therapy. METHODS AND RESULTS: This Markov cohort cost-effectiveness model used estimates of therapy effectiveness, transition probabilities, costs and quality of life obtained from the Low-dose Colchicine 2 (LoDoCo2) trial, as well as meta-analyses and public sources. In this trial, Low-dose colchicine was added to standard of care and compared to placebo. The main outcomes were cardiovascular events including myocardial infarction, stroke and coronary revascularisation, quality-adjusted life-year (QALY), the cost per QALY gained (incremental cost-effectiveness ratio), and net monetary benefit. In the model, low-dose colchicine therapy yielded 0.04 additional QALYs compared with standard of care at an incremental cost of €455 from a societal perspective and €729 from a healthcare perspective, resulting in a cost per QALY gained of €12,176/QALY from a societal perspective and €19,499/QALY from a healthcare perspective. Net monetary benefit was €1,414 from a societal perspective and €1,140 from a healthcare perspective. Low-dose colchicine has a 96% and 94% chance of being cost effective, from respectively a societal and healthcare perspective when using a willingness to pay of €50,000/QALY. Net monetary benefit would decrease below zero when annual low-dose colchicine costs would exceed an annual cost of €221 per patient. CONCLUSION: Adding low-dose colchicine to standard of care in patients with chronic coronary disease is cost-effective according to commonly accepted thresholds in Europe and Australia and compares favourably in cost-effectiveness to other drugs used in chronic coronary disease.

Association of Interleukin 6 Inhibition With Ziltivekimab and the Neutrophil-Lymphocyte Ratio: A Secondary Analysis of the RESCUE Clinical Trial.

Importance: The neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) independently predicts atherosclerotic events and is a potential biomarker for residual inflammatory risk. Interleukin (IL) 1ß inhibition reduces the NLR, but whether inhibition of IL-6, a cytokine downstream of IL-1, also lowers the NLR is uncertain. Objective: To evaluate whether ziltivekimab, a therapeutic monoclonal antibody targeting the IL-6 ligand, associates with a lower NLR compared with placebo. Design, Setting, and Participants: This was an exploratory post hoc analysis of Trial to Evaluate Reduction in Inflammation in Patients With Advanced Chronic Renal Disease Utilizing Antibody Mediated IL-6 Inhibition (RESCUE), a double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled, phase 2 trial conducted from June 17, 2019, to January 14, 2020, with 24 weeks of follow-up. Participants were enrolled at 40 sites in the US and included adults aged 18 or older with moderate to severe chronic kidney disease and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein levels of 2 mg/L or greater. Data were analyzed from September 28, 2021, to October 2, 2022. Interventions: Participants were randomly assigned equally to placebo or ziltivekimab, 7.5 mg, 15 mg, or 30 mg, subcutaneously every 4 weeks. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was the change in the NLR at 12 weeks. Results: A total of 264 participants (median [IQR] age, 68 [60-75] years; 135 men [51%]; 129 women [49%]) were enrolled, of which 187 (71%) had diabetes, and 126 (48%) had known atherosclerosis. The median (IQR) change in the NLR at 12 weeks was 1.56% (IQR, -15.7% to 20.0%), -13.5% (IQR, -31.6% to 3.20%), -14.3% (IQR, -26.9% to 4.62%), and -22.4% (IQR, -33.3% to -4.27%) in the placebo, 7.5-mg, 15-mg, and 30-mg groups, respectively. The estimated treatment difference compared with placebo was -14.6% (95% CI, -24.8% to -4.81%; P = .004), -15.3% (95% CI, -25.2% to -5.10%; P = .004), and -23.6% (95% CI, -33.2% to -14.2%; P < .001) in the 7.5-mg, 15-mg, and 30-mg groups, respectively. A similar reduction in the absolute neutrophil count was observed. Conclusions and Relevance: Results of this post hoc analysis of the RESCUE trial show that IL-6 ligand inhibition with ziltivekimab associates with a lower NLR, suggesting that it may disrupt multiple atherogenic inflammatory pathways, including those mediated by the myeloid cell compartment. The NLR may have use in monitoring ziltivekimab's efficacy should it be introduced into clinical practice.

IGF-1 is not related to long-term outcome in hyperglycemic acute coronary syndrome patients.

PURPOSE: Insulin-like growth factor-1 (IGF-1) has been associated with both protective and detrimental effects on the development of ischemic heart disease. The relationship between IGF-1 levels and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in acute coronary syndrome (ACS) patients remains unclear. This study aimed to investigate the relationship between IGF-1 admission levels in hyperglycemic ACS patients and: (1) MACE over a 5 years follow-up, (2) type 2 diabetes at discharge, and (3) post-ACS myocardial infarct size and dysfunction. METHODS: This was a post hoc analysis of the BIOMArCS-2 randomized controlled trial. From July 2008 to February 2012, 276 ACS patients with admission plasma glucose level between 140 and 288 mg/dL were included. Records of the composite of all-cause mortality and recurrent non-fatal myocardial infarction were obtained during 5 years follow-up. Venous blood samples were collected on admission. IGF-1 was measured batchwise after study completion. Oral glucose tolerance test was performed to diagnose type 2 diabetes, whereas infarct size and left ventricular function were assessed by myocardial perfusion scintigraphy (MPS) imaging, 6 weeks post-ACS. RESULTS: Cumulative incidence of MACE was 24% at 5 years follow-up. IGF-1 was not independently associated with MACE (HR:1.00 (95%CI:0.99-1.00), p = 0.29). Seventy-eight patients (28%) had type 2 diabetes at discharge, and the highest quartile of IGF-1 levels was associated with the lowest incidence of diabetes (HR:0.40 (95%CI:0.17-0.95), p = 0.037). IGF-1 levels were not associated with post-ACS myocardial infarct size and dysfunction. CONCLUSIONS: IGF-1 carries potential for predicting type 2 diabetes, rather than long-term cardiovascular outcomes and post-ACS myocardial infarct size and dysfunction, in hyperglycemic ACS patients.

Rationale and design of the PRAETORIAN-COVID trial: A double-blind, placebo-controlled randomized clinical trial with valsartan for PRevention of Acute rEspiraTORy dIstress syndrome in hospitAlized patieNts with SARS-COV-2 Infection Disease.

There is much debate on the use of angiotensin receptor blockers (ARBs) in severe acute respiratory syndrome-coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2)-infected patients. Although it has been suggested that ARBs might lead to a higher susceptibility and severity of SARS-CoV-2 infection, experimental data suggest that ARBs may reduce acute lung injury via blocking angiotensin-II-mediated pulmonary permeability, inflammation, and fibrosis. However, despite these hypotheses, specific studies on ARBs in SARS-CoV-2 patients are lacking. METHODS: The PRAETORIAN-COVID trial is a multicenter, double-blind, placebo-controlled 1:1 randomized clinical trial in adult hospitalized SARS-CoV-2-infected patients (n = 651). The primary aim is to investigate the effect of the ARB valsartan compared to placebo on the composite end point of admission to an intensive care unit, mechanical ventilation, or death within 14 days of randomization. The active-treatment arm will receive valsartan in a dosage titrated to blood pressure up to a maximum of 160 mg bid, and the placebo arm will receive matching placebo. Treatment duration will be 14 days, or until the occurrence of the primary end point or until hospital discharge, if either of these occurs within 14 days. The trial is registered at clinicaltrials.gov (NCT04335786, 2020). SUMMARY: The PRAETORIAN-COVID trial is a double-blind, placebo-controlled 1:1 randomized trial to assess the effect of valsartan compared to placebo on the occurrence of ICU admission, mechanical ventilation, and death in hospitalized SARS-CoV-2-infected patients. The results of this study might impact the treatment of SARS-CoV-2 patients globally.

Relation between pharmacological stress ECG, 13NH3-PET/CT outcome and the occurrence of cardiac events during follow-up in women with chest pain.

AIM: Evaluation of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in women referred for NH3-PET/CT in relation to scan outcome and pharmacological stress ECG (PxECG) results. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Six hundred twenty-four women, referred for NH3-PET/CT between 2012 and 2016, were included. Demographic data and MACE during follow-up (407 ± 207 days) were retrieved from electronic patient charts. NH3-PET/CT was scored as either normal or abnormal. PxECG was scored as negative, non-diagnostic or positive. PxECG was compared with NH3-PET/CT and related to MACE. RESULTS: The NH3-PET/CT was normal in 482/624 (77%) and abnormal in 142/624 (23%). PxECG was negative in 234/624 (38%), non-diagnostic in 365/624 (58%) and positive in 25/624 (4%). NH3-PET/CT was normal in 87, 71 and 72% with normal, nondiagnostic and positive PxECG, respectively. 41/624(7%) experienced a MACE, 38 with abnormal NH3-PET/CT versus three with normal NH3-PET/CT (P < 0.001). MACE occurred in 5/234 (0.9%), 31/365 (8%) and 5/25 (20%) with normal, non-diagnostic and positive PxECG, respectively (P < 0.001). No MACEs were seen in 204 with both normal PxECG and NH3-PET/CT versus 5/30(17%) with normal PxECG but abnormal NH3-PET/. No MACE occurred in 3/260(1%) with non-diagnostic PxECG and normal NH3-PET/CT versus 28/105(27%) with non-diagnostic PxECG and abnormal NH3-PET/CT. 0/18 with positive PxECG and normal NH3-PET/CT showed MACE versus 5/7(71%) with a positive PxECG and abnormal NH3-PET/CT. CONCLUSION: Normal NH3-PET/CT is most prevalent in women with normal PxECG. The occurrence of MACE during follow-up is more frequently related to an abnormal NH3-PET/CT than to PxECG. Furthermore, in women with positive PxECG but normal NH3-PET/CT no MACE are to be expected.

Longitudinally Measured Fibrinolysis Factors are Strong Predictors of Clinical Outcome in Patients with Chronic Heart Failure: The Bio-SHiFT Study.

OBJECTIVE: This article investigates whether longitudinally measured fibrinolysis factors are associated with cardiac events in patients with chronic heart failure (CHF). METHODS: A median of 9 (interquartile range [IQR] 5-10) serial, tri-monthly blood samples per patient were prospectively collected in 263 CHF patients during a median follow-up of 2.2 (IQR 1.4-2.5) years. Seventy patients (cases) reached the composite endpoint of cardiac death, heart failure hospitalization, left ventricular assist device, or heart transplantation. From all longitudinal samples, we selected baseline samples in all patients and the last two samples before the event in cases or the last sample available in event-free patients. Herein, we measured plasminogen activator inhibitor 1 (PAI-1), tissue-type plasminogen activator (tPA), urokinase-type plasminogen activator (uPA), and soluble urokinase plasminogen activator surface receptor (suPAR). Associations between temporal biomarker patterns during follow-up and the cardiac event were investigated using a joint model. RESULTS: Cases were on average older and showed higher New York Heart Association class than those who remained event-free. They also had lower blood pressures, and were more likely to have diabetes, renal failure, and atrial fibrillation. Longitudinally measured PAI-1, uPA, and suPAR were independently associated with adverse cardiac events after correction for clinical characteristics (hazard ratio [95% confidence interval]) per standard deviation increase of 2.09 (1.28-3.45) for PAI-1, 1.91 (1.18-3.24) for uPA, and 3.96 (2.48-6.63) for suPAR. Serial measurements of tPA were not significantly associated with the event after correction for multiple testing. CONCLUSION: Longitudinally measured PAI-1, uPA, and suPAR are strongly associated with adverse cardiac events during the course of CHF. If future research confirms our results, these fibrinolytic factors may carry potential for improved, and personalized, heart failure surveillance and treatment monitoring.

Repeated Echocardiograms Do Not Provide Incremental Prognostic Value to Single Echocardiographic Assessment in Minimally Symptomatic Patients with Chronic Heart Failure: Results of the Bio-SHiFT Study.

BACKGROUND: We aimed to compare the prognostic value of a single "baseline" echocardiogram with repeated echocardiography in stable chronic heart failure (CHF) patients. We hypothesized that repeated echocardiograms would contain incremental prognostic information. METHODS: In the prospective Bio-SHiFT study, we performed 332 echocardiograms in 106 patients during a median follow-up of 2.3 years. The endpoint comprised HF hospitalization, left ventricular (LV) assist device implantation, heart transplantation, and cardiovascular death. We compared hazard ratios (HRs; adjusted for N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide) from Cox models for the first available measurement with HRs from joint models, which model individual trajectories based on the repeated measurements and link these to the time-to-event data. RESULTS: The mean age of the patients was 58.1 years; 78.3% were male, 12.6% had New York Heart Association class >II, all had reduced ejection fraction, and the most common HF etiologies were cardiomyopathies (51%) and ischemia (40%). The endpoint occurred in 25 patients. Both the single measurements and the temporal trajectories were significantly associated with the endpoint (adjusted HR Cox model [95% CI] vs adjusted HR joint model [95% CI]): LV ejection fraction, 1.47 (0.93-2.31) vs 1.77 (1.13-2.93); diastolic LV diameter, 1.64 (1.09-2.47) vs 1.68 (1.12-2.57); systolic LV diameter, 1.72 (1.10-2.69) vs 1.68 (1.13-2.63); systolic left atrial diameter, 1.88 (1.18-3.00) vs 2.60 (1.48-4.97); E/A ratio, 2.73 (1.42-5.26) vs 3.87 (1.75-10.13); and E/e' ratio, 2.30 (1.38-3.84) vs 2.99 (1.68-6.19). None of the trajectories from the investigated parameters showed worsening prior to events. CONCLUSIONS: Although single baseline or repeatedly measured echocardiographic parameters were associated with the endpoint, all parameters remained on average stable during the 2.3 years of follow-up in this largely minimally symptomatic CHF cohort. Thus, regular echocardiographic monitoring of systolic or diastolic LV function within this time frame does not carry incremental prognostic information over a single baseline measurement.

Patient-specific evolution of renal function in chronic heart failure patients dynamically predicts clinical outcome in the Bio-SHiFT study.

Renal dysfunction is an important component of chronic heart failure (CHF), but its single assessment does not sufficiently reflect clinically silent progression of CHF prior to adverse clinical outcome. Therefore, we aimed to investigate temporal evolutions of glomerular and tubular markers in 263 stable patients with CHF, and to determine if their patient-specific evolutions during this clinically silent period can dynamically predict clinical outcome. We determined the risk of clinical outcome (composite endpoint of Heart Failure hospitalization, cardiac death, Left Ventricular Assist Device placement, and heart transplantation) in relation to marker levels, slopes and areas under their trajectories. In each patient, the trajectories were estimated using repeatedly measured glomerular markers: creatinine/estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), cystatin C (CysC), and tubular markers: urinary N-acetyl-beta-D-glucosaminidase (NAG) and kidney injury molecule (KIM)-1, plasma and urinary neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL). During 2.2 years of follow-up, we collected on average 8 urine and 9 plasma samples per patient. All glomerular markers predicted the endpoint (univariable hazard ratio [95% confidence interval] per 20% increase: creatinine: 1.18[1.07-1.31], CysC: 2.41[1.81-3.41], and per 20% eGFR decrease: 1.13[1.05-1.23]). Tubular markers, NAG, and KIM-1 also predicted the endpoint (NAG: 1.06[1.01-1.11] and KIM-1: 1.08[1.04-1.11]). Larger slopes were the strongest predictors (creatinine: 1.57[1.39-1.84], CysC: 1.76[1.52-2.09], eGFR: 1.59[1.37-1.90], NAG: 1.26[1.11-1.44], and KIM-1: 1.64[1.38-2.05]). Associations persisted after multivariable adjustment for clinical characteristics. Thus, during clinically silent progression of CHF, glomerular and tubular functions deteriorate, but not simultaneously. Hence, patient-specific evolutions of these renal markers dynamically predict clinical outcome in patients with CHF.

Serially measured circulating miR-22-3p is a biomarker for adverse clinical outcome in patients with chronic heart failure: The Bio-SHiFT study.

BACKGROUND: Several studies have suggested circulating microRNAs (miRs) are associated with heart failure, but these studies were small, and limited to single miR measurements. We examined 7 miRs which were previously linked to heart failure, and tested whether their temporal expression level predicts prognosis in a prospective cohort of chronic heart failure (CHF) patients. METHODS AND RESULTS: In 2011-2013, 263 CHF patients were included. At inclusion and subsequently every 3months, we measured 7miRs. The primary endpoint (PE) comprised heart failure hospitalization, cardiovascular mortality, cardiac transplantation and LVAD implantation. Associations between temporal miR patterns and the PE were investigated by joint modelling, which combines mixed models with Cox regression. Mean age was 67±13years, 72% were men and 27% NYHA classes III-IV. We obtained 873 blood samples (median 3 [IQR 2-5] per patient). The PE was reached in 41 patients (16%) during a median follow-up of 0.9 [0.6-1.4] years. The temporal pattern of miR-22-3p was independently associated with the PE (HR [95% CI] per doubling of level: 0.64 [0.47-0.77]). The instantaneous change in level (slope of the temporal miR pattern) of miR-22-3p was also independently associated with the PE (HR [95% CI] per doubling of slope: 0.33 [0.20-0.51]). These associations remained statistically significant after adjustment for temporal patterns of NT-proBNP, Troponin T and CRP. CONCLUSIONS: The temporal pattern of circulating miR-22-3p contains important prognostic and independent information in CHF patients. This concept warrants further investigation in larger series with extended follow-up.

Ruling out coronary artery disease in women with atypical chest pain: results of calcium score combined with coronary computed tomography angiography and associated radiation exposure.

BACKGROUND: To assess the presence of coronary artery disease (CAD) in women with atypical chest pain with low or intermediate risk for significant CAD by means of calcium scoring (CaSc) combined with coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) and to estimate the equivalent radiation dose in women. PATIENTS AND METHODS: From December 2011 until July 2013, all consecutively performed cardiac CTs in women with atypical chest pain were included prospectively in the present study. Both CaSc and CCTA were obtained by a dual source flying focal spot 2×64 slice Somatom Definition Flash. Absence of CAD was defined as CaSc 0 and absence of noncalcified plaques. Presence of CAD was determined as CaSc>0 and/or presence of noncalcified plaques. The impact on patient management was also scored within our patient cohort. RESULTS: A total of 1033 procedures in 1014 women (mean age 59±10 years; mean BMI 26±8) were analyzed. In 520 (51%) women, CAD was absent. In 494 (49%) women, CAD was diagnosed, and in this subgroup the mean CaSc was 137±229. Thirty-seven (7%) of 494 women with CAD showed only noncalcified plaques. The mean equivalent radiation dose for the cardiac CTs of 1014 women was 2.2±1.6 mSv. CONCLUSION: Combined CaSc and CCTA excludes CAD in approximately 50% of women with atypical chest pain, and delivers a modest radiation dose of 2.2±1.6 mSv. CCTA has a substantial impact on patient management and can thus be advocated as first diagnostic tool in excluding CAD in women with atypical chest pain in terms of latest generation equipment with emphasize on radiation reduction techniques.

N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide identifies patients with chest pain at high long-term cardiovascular risk.

BACKGROUND: Little is known about the long-term prognostic value of N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) and C-reactive protein (CRP) in low-risk patients with chest pain. METHODS: Between June 1997 and January 2000, a standard rule-out protocol was performed in patients presenting to the emergency department within 6 hours of onset of chest pain with a normal or nondiagnostic electrocardiogram (ECG) on admission at the Academic Medical Center Amsterdam, VU University Medical Center Amsterdam and Medical Center Alkmaar, The Netherlands. Patients with acute coronary syndrome were identified by troponin T, recurrent angina, and serial ECGs. CRP and NT-proBNP on admission were measured using standardized methods. RESULTS: A total of 524 patients were included (145 with acute coronary syndrome and 379 with rule-out acute coronary syndrome). Long-term follow-up was successfully carried out in 96% of the study population. Death occurred in 78 patients (15%), 43 (11%) in the rule-out acute coronary syndrome group and 35 (24%) in the acute coronary syndrome group (P<.001). In the rule-out acute coronary syndrome group, 21 patients (42%) died of a cardiovascular cause compared with 24 patients (69%) in the acute coronary syndrome group (P<.001). In multivariate Cox regression analysis, age more than 65 years, previous myocardial infarction, known chronic heart failure, a nondiagnostic ECG on admission, and elevated NT-proBNP levels (>87 pg/mL, as derived from the receiver operating characteristic curve) were independent predictors of long-term cardiovascular mortality in the rule-out acute coronary syndrome group. In the acute coronary syndrome group, these predictors were age more than 65 years, documented coronary artery disease, and elevated NT-proBNP levels. Elevated levels of CRP were an independent predictor for cardiovascular mortality in patients with rule-out acute coronary syndrome at 3-year follow-up only. In patients with rule-out acute coronary syndrome with normal CRP and NT-proBNP levels, the cardiovascular mortality incidence rate was 4.7 per 1000 person-years, compared with a death rate of 20 in patients with both biomarkers elevated, which was comparable to the 17.9 per 1000 person-years incidence rate in patients with acute coronary syndrome. CONCLUSION: A positive biomarker panel discriminates patients with rule-out acute coronary syndrome chest pain with a normal or nondiagnostic ECG who have a high risk for long-term cardiovascular mortality.

Elevated admission glucose is associated with increased long-term mortality in myocardial infarction patients, irrespective of the initially applied reperfusion strategy.

BACKGROUND: It is uncertain if elevated admission plasma glucose (APG) remains an independent determinant of longer-term mortality in myocardial infarction (MI) patients with early restoration of coronary reperfusion by primary percutaneous coronary intervention. The objective of the study was to describe the relation between elevated APG and long-term mortality in MI patients undergoing invasive management. METHODS: We studied 1,185 consecutive MI patients treated in the Medical Center Alkmaar in the separate years 1996 and 1999 (preinvasive era) and 2003 and 2006 (invasive era). In both eras, APG was derived according to a standard protocol. A multivariate Cox regression model was created to study the relation between APG, reperfusion era, and 5-year mortality. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 63 months, 261 patients had died. Mortality was lower in the invasive (19%) than in the preinvasive era (28%). Increased APG was associated with increased mortality, irrespective of the initial reperfusion strategy, although the relation was more pronounced in the preinvasive era (P value for heterogeneity of effects < .001). Each millimole-per-liter APG increase corresponded to a 7% increased mortality (adjusted hazard ratio 1.07, 95% CI 1.04-1.10). Patients with an APG >11 mmol/L had nearly 2-fold higher mortality (hazard ratio 1.9, 95% CI 1.3-2.7) than those with lower values. CONCLUSION: Elevated APG remains a determinant of long-term mortality in MI patients, irrespective of the advances that have been made in reperfusion therapy.

Cystatin C for enhancement of risk stratification in non-ST elevation acute coronary syndrome patients with an increased troponin T.

BACKGROUND: We assessed the value of cystatin C for improvement of risk stratification in patients with non-ST elevation acute coronary syndrome (nSTE-ACS) and increased cardiac troponin T (cTnT), and we compared the long-term effects of an early invasive treatment strategy (EIS) with a selective invasive treatment strategy (SIS) with regard to renal function. METHODS: Patients (n = 1128) randomized to an EIS or an SIS in the ICTUS trial were stratified according to the tertiles of the cystatin C concentration at baseline. The end points were death within 4 years and spontaneous myocardial infarction (MI) within 3 years. RESULTS: Mortality was 3.4%, 6.2%, and 13.5% in the first, second, and third tertiles, respectively, of cystatin C concentration (log-rank P < 0.001), and the respective rates of spontaneous MI were 5.5%, 7.5%, and 9.8% (log-rank P = 0.03). In a multivariate Cox regression analysis, the cystatin C concentration in the third quartile remained independently predictive of mortality [hazard ratio (HR), 2.04; 95% CI, 1.02-4.10; P = 0.04] and spontaneous MI (HR, 1.95; 95% CI, 1.05-3.63; P = 0.04). The mortality rate in the second tertile was lower with the EIS than with the SIS (3.8% vs 8.7%). In the third tertile, the mortality rates with the EIS and the SIS were, respectively, 15.0% and 12.2% (P for interaction = 0.04). Rates of spontaneous MI were similar for the EIS and the SIS within cystatin C tertiles (P for interaction = 0.22). CONCLUSIONS: In patients with nSTE-ACS and an increased cTnT concentration, mild to moderate renal dysfunction is associated with a higher risk of death and spontaneous MI. Use of cystatin C as a serum marker of renal function may improve risk stratification.

Diverging associations of an intended early invasive strategy compared with actual revascularization, and outcome in patients with non-ST-segment elevation acute coronary syndrome: the problem of treatment selection bias.

AIMS: In several observational studies, revascularization is associated with substantial reduction in mortality in patients with non-ST-segment elevation acute coronary syndrome (nSTE-ACS). This has strengthened the belief that routine early angiography would lead to a reduction in mortality. We investigated the association between actual in-hospital revascularization and long-term outcome in patients with nSTE-ACS included in the ICTUS trial. METHODS AND RESULTS: The study population of the present analysis consists of ICTUS participants who were discharged alive after initial hospitalization. The ICTUS trial was a randomized, controlled trial in which 1200 patients were randomized to an early invasive or selective invasive strategy. The endpoints were death from hospital discharge until 4 year follow-up and death or spontaneous myocardial infarction (MI) until 3 years. Among 1189 patients discharged alive, 691 (58%) underwent revascularization during initial hospitalization. In multivariable Cox regression analyses, in-hospital revascularization was independently associated with a reduction in 4 year mortality and 3 year event rate of death or spontaneous MI: hazard ratio (HR) 0.59 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.37-0.96] and 0.46 (95% CI 0.31-0.68). However, when intention-to-treat analysis was performed, no differences in cumulative event rates were observed between the early invasive and selective invasive strategies: HR 1.10 (95% CI 0.70-1.74) for death and 1.27 (95% CI 0.88-1.85) for death or spontaneous MI. CONCLUSION: The ICTUS trial did not show that an early invasive strategy resulted in a better outcome than a selective invasive strategy in patients with nSTE-ACS. However, similar to retrospective analyses from observational studies, actual revascularization was associated with lower mortality and fewer MI. Whether an early invasive strategy leads to a better outcome than a selective invasive strategy cannot be inferred from the observation that revascularized patients have a better prognosis in non-randomized studies.

ST-segment deviation on the admission electrocardiogram, treatment strategy, and outcome in non-ST-elevation acute coronary syndromes A substudy of the Invasive versus Conservative Treatment in Unstable coronary Syndromes (ICTUS) Trial.

BACKGROUND: We assessed the prognostic significance of the presence of cumulative (Sigma) ST-segment deviation on the admission electrocardiogram (ECG) in patients with non-ST-elevation acute coronary syndrome and an elevated troponin T randomized to a selective invasive (SI) or an early invasive treatment strategy. METHODS: A 12-lead ECG obtained at admission was available for analysis from 1163 patients. The presence and magnitude of ST-segment deviation was measured in each lead, and absolute ST-segment deviation was summed. The effect of treatment strategy was assessed for patients with or without SigmaST-segment deviation of at least 1 mm. RESULTS: The incidence of death or myocardial infarction (MI) by 1 year in patients with SigmaST-segment deviation of at least 1 mm was 18.0% compared with 11.1% in patients with SigmaST-segment deviation of less than 1 mm (P = .001). Among patients with SigmaST-segment deviation of at least 1 mm, the incidence of death or MI was 21.9% in the early invasive group compared with 14.2% in SI group (P < .01). However, we observed a significantly higher rate of MI after hospital discharge among patients with SigmaST-segment deviation of at least 1 mm randomized to SI who did not undergo angiography compared with patients who underwent angiography before discharge (10.9% vs 2.4%, P = .003). In a forward logistic regression analysis, the presence of ST-segment deviation was an independent predictor for failure of medical therapy (coronary angiography within 30 days after randomization in the SI group) (odds ratio, 1.56; 95% confidence interval, 1.12-2.18; P = .009). CONCLUSION: Patients with non-ST-elevation acute coronary syndrome and an elevated troponin T and SigmaST-segment deviation of at least 1 mm are at increased risk of death or MI, more often fail on medical therapy, and more often experience a spontaneous MI after discharge when angiography was not performed during initial hospitalization.

Long-term outcome after an early invasive versus selective invasive treatment strategy in patients with non-ST-elevation acute coronary syndrome and elevated cardiac troponin T (the ICTUS trial): a follow-up study.

BACKGROUND: The ICTUS trial was a study that compared an early invasive with a selective invasive treatment strategy in patients with non-ST-elevation acute coronary syndrome (nSTE-ACS). The study reported no difference between the strategies for frequency of death, myocardial infarction, or rehospitalisation after 1 year. We did a follow-up study to assess the effects of these treatment strategies after 4 years. METHODS: 1200 patients with nSTE-ACS and an elevated cardiac troponin were enrolled from 42 hospitals in the Netherlands. Patients were randomly assigned either to an early invasive strategy, including early routine catheterisation and revascularisation where appropriate, or to a more selective invasive strategy, where catheterisation was done if the patient had refractory angina or recurrent ischaemia. The main endpoints for the current follow-up study were death, recurrent myocardial infarction, or rehospitalisation for anginal symptoms within 3 years after randomisation, and cardiovascular mortality and all-cause mortality within 4 years. Analysis was by intention-to-treat. This study is registered as an International Standard Randomised Controlled Trial, number ISRCTN82153174. FINDINGS: The in-hospital revascularisation rate was 76% in the early invasive group and 40% in the selective invasive group. After 3 years, the cumulative rate for the combined endpoint was 30.0% in the early invasive group compared with 26.0% in the selective invasive group (hazard ratio 1.21; 95% CI 0.97-1.50; p=0.09). Myocardial infarction was more frequent in the early invasive strategy group (106 [18.3%] vs 69 [12.3%]; HR 1.61; 1.19-2.18; p=0.002). Rates of death or spontaneous myocardial infarction were not different (76 [14.3%] patients in the early invasive and 63 [11.2%] patients in the selective invasive strategy [HR 1.19; 0.86-1.67; p=0.30]). No difference in all-cause mortality (7.9%vs 7.7%; p=0.62) or cardiovascular mortality (4.5%vs 5.0%; p=0.97) was seen within 4 years. INTERPRETATION: Long-term follow-up of the ICTUS trial suggests that an early invasive strategy might not be better than a more selective invasive strategy in patients with nSTE-ACS and an elevated cardiac troponin, and implementation of either strategy might be acceptable in these patients.

N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide for additional risk stratification in patients with non-ST-elevation acute coronary syndrome and an elevated troponin T: an Invasive versus Conservative Treatment in Unstable coronary Syndromes (ICTUS) substudy.

BACKGROUND: New evidence has emerged that the assessment of multiple biomarkers such as cardiac troponin T (cTnT) and N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) in patients with non-ST-elevation acute coronary syndrome (nSTE-ACS) provides unique prognostic information. The purpose of this study was to assess the association between baseline NT-proBNP levels and outcome in patients who have nSTE-ACS with an elevated cTnT and to determine whether patients with elevated NT-proBNP levels benefit from an early invasive treatment strategy. METHODS: Baseline samples for NT-proBNP measurements were available in 1141 patients who have nSTE-ACS with an elevated cTnT randomized to an early or a selective invasive strategy. Patients were followed-up for the occurrence of death, myocardial infarction (MI), and rehospitalization for angina. RESULTS: We showed that increased levels of NT-proBNP were associated with several indicators of risk and severe coronary artery disease. Mortality by 1 year was 7.3% in the highest quartile (> or = 1170 ng/L for men, > or = 2150 ng/L for women) compared with 1.1% of patients in the lower 3 quartiles (P < .0001). N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (highest quartile vs lower 3 quartiles) was a strong independent predictor of mortality (hazard ratio 5.0, 95% CI 2.1-11.6, P = .0002). However, NT-proBNP levels were not associated with the incidence of recurrent MI by 1 year. Furthermore, we could not demonstrate a benefit of an early invasive strategy compared with a selective invasive strategy in patients with an elevated NT-proBNP level. CONCLUSIONS: We confirmed that NT-proBNP is a strong independent predictor of mortality by 1 year but not of recurrent MI in patients who have nSTE-ACS with an elevated cTnT. We could not demonstrate a benefit of an early invasive strategy compared with a selective invasive strategy.

Renal function as a predictor of outcome in a broad spectrum of patients with heart failure.

BACKGROUND: Decreased renal function has been found to be an independent risk factor for cardiovascular outcomes in patients with chronic heart failure (CHF) with markedly reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF). The aim of this analysis was to evaluate the prognostic importance of renal function in a broader spectrum of patients with CHF. METHODS AND RESULTS: The Candesartan in Heart Failure:Assessment of Reduction in Mortality and Morbidity (CHARM) program consisted of three component trials that enrolled patients with symptomatic CHF, based on use of ACE inhibitors and reduced (< or =40%) or preserved LVEF (>40%). Entry baseline creatinine was required to be below 3.0 mg/dL (265 micromol/L). Routine baseline serum creatinine assessments were done in 2680 North American patients. An analysis of the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), using the Modification of Diet in Renal Disease equation and LVEF on risk of cardiovascular death or hospitalization for heart failure, as well as on all-cause mortality, was conducted on these 2680 patients. The proportion of patients with eGFR <60 mL/min per 1.73 m2 was 36.0%; 42.6% for CHARM-Alternative, 33.0% for CHARM-Added, and 34.7% for CHARM-Preserved. During the median follow-up of 34.4 months (total 6493 person-years), the primary outcome of cardiovascular death or hospital admission for worsening CHF occurred in 950 of 2680 subjects. Both reduced eGFR and lower LVEF were found to be significant independent predictors of worse outcome after adjustment for major confounding baseline clinical characteristics. The risk for cardiovascular death or hospitalization for worsening CHF as well as the risk for all-cause mortality increased significantly below an eGFR of 60 mL/min per 1.73 m2 (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.54 for 45 to 60 mL/min per 1.73 m2 and 1.86 for <45 mL/min per 1.73 m2 for the primary outcome, both P<0.001, and hazard ratio of 1.50, P=0.006, and 1.91, P=0.001, respectively, for all-cause mortality). The prognostic value of eGFR was not significantly different among the three component trials. There was no significant interaction between renal function, the effect of candesartan, and clinical outcome. CONCLUSIONS: Impaired renal function is independently associated with heightened risk for death, cardiovascular death, and hospitalization for heart failure in patients with CHF with both preserved as well as reduced LVEF. There was no evidence that the beneficial effect of candesartan was modified by baseline eGFR.

Early invasive versus selectively invasive management for acute coronary syndromes.

BACKGROUND: Current guidelines recommend an early invasive strategy for patients who have acute coronary syndromes without ST-segment elevation and with an elevated cardiac troponin T level. However, randomized trials have not shown an overall reduction in mortality, and the reduction in the rate of myocardial infarction in previous trials has varied depending on the definition of myocardial infarction. METHODS: We randomly assigned 1200 patients with acute coronary syndrome without ST-segment elevation who had chest pain, an elevated cardiac troponin T level (> or =0.03 mug per liter), and either electrocardiographic evidence of ischemia at admission or a documented history of coronary disease to an early invasive strategy or to a more conservative (selectively invasive) strategy. Patients received aspirin daily, enoxaparin for 48 hours, and abciximab at the time of percutaneous coronary intervention. The use of clopidogrel and intensive lipid-lowering therapy was recommended. The primary end point was a composite of death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, or rehospitalization for anginal symptoms within one year after randomization. RESULTS: The estimated cumulative rate of the primary end point was 22.7 percent in the group assigned to early invasive management and 21.2 percent in the group assigned to selectively invasive management (relative risk, 1.07; 95 percent confidence interval, 0.87 to 1.33; P=0.33). The mortality rate was the same in the two groups (2.5 percent). Myocardial infarction was significantly more frequent in the group assigned to early invasive management (15.0 percent vs. 10.0 percent, P=0.005), but rehospitalization was less frequent in that group (7.4 percent vs. 10.9 percent, P=0.04). CONCLUSIONS: We could not demonstrate that, given optimized medical therapy, an early invasive strategy was superior to a selectively invasive strategy in patients with acute coronary syndromes without ST-segment elevation and with an elevated cardiac troponin T level.